In a number of the early news reports, that word "enduring,"
part of the "enduring relationship" that the Iraqi leadership
supposedly "asked for," was
put into (or near) the mouths of "Iraqi leaders" or of
the Iraqi prime minister
himself. It also achieved a certain prominence in the post-declaration
"press gaggle" conducted by the man coordinating this process out of
the Oval Office, the President's so-called War Tsar, Gen. Douglas Lute.
He said of the document: "It signals a commitment of both their
government and the United States to an enduring relationship based on
mutual interests."
In trying to imagine any Iraqi leader
actually requesting that "enduring" relationship, something kept
nagging at me. After all, those mutual vows of longevity were to be
taken in a well publicized civil ceremony in a world in which, when it
comes to the American presidential embrace, don't-ask/don't-tell is
usually the
preferred course
of action for foreign leaders. Finally, I remembered where I had seen
that word "enduring" before in a situation that also involved a
"long-term relationship." It had been four-and-a-half years earlier and
not coming out of the mouths of Iraqi officials either.
Back in April 2003, just after Baghdad fell to American troops, Thom Shanker and Eric Schmitt
reported on the front page of the
New York Times
that the Pentagon had launched its invasion the previous month with
plans for four "permanent bases" in out of the way parts of Iraq
already on the drawing board. Since then, the Pentagon has indeed sunk
billions of dollars into building those mega-bases (with a couple of
extra ones thrown in) at or near the places mentioned by Shanker and
Schmitt.
When questioned by reporters at the time about
whether such "permanent bases" were in the works, Secretary of Defense
Donald Rumsfeld
insisted that the U.S. was "unlikely to seek any permanent or long-term' bases in Iraq" and that was that. The
Times'
piece essentially went down the mainstream-media memory hole. On this
subject, the official position of the Bush administration has never
changed. Just last week, for instance, General Lute slipped up, in
response to a question at his press gaggle. The exchange went like
this:
"Q: And permanent bases? "GENERAL LUTE: Likewise. That's
another dimension of continuing U.S. support to the government of Iraq,
and will certainly be a key item for negotiation next year."
White House spokesperson Dana Perino quickly issued a denial, saying: "We do not seek permanent bases in Iraq."
Back in 2003, Pentagon officials, already seeking to avoid that
potentially explosive "permanent" tag, plucked "enduring" out of the
military lexicon and began referring to such bases, charmingly enough,
as
"enduring camps."
And the word remains with us connected to bases and occupations
anywhere. For instance, of a planned expansion of Bagram Air Base in
Afghanistan, a Col. Jonathan Ives
told
an AP reporter recently, "We've grown in our commitment to Afghanistan
by putting another brigade (of troops) here, and with that we know that
we're going to have an enduring presence. So this is going to become a
long-term base for us, whether that means five years, 10 years we
don't know."
Still, whatever they were called, the bases went up on an impressive
scale, massively fortified, sometimes 15-20 square miles in area,
housing up to tens of thousands of troops and private contractors, with
multiple bus routes, traffic lights, fast-food restaurants, PXs, and
other amenities of home, and reeking of the kind of investment that
practically shouts out for, minimally, a relationship of a distinctly
"enduring" nature.
The Facts on Land and Sea
These were part of what should be considered the facts on the ground in
Iraq, though, between April 2003 and the present, they were rarely
reported on or debated in the mainstream in the U.S. But if you place
those mega-bases (not to speak of the
more than 100
smaller ones built at one point or another) in the context of early
Bush administration plans for the Iraqi military, things quickly begin
to make more sense.
Remember, Iraq is essentially the hot
seat at the center of the Middle East. It had, in the previous two-plus
decades fought an eight-year war with neighboring Iran, invaded
neighboring Kuwait, and been invaded itself. And yet, the new Coalition
Provisional Authority, run by the President's personal envoy, L. Paul
Bremer III, promptly disbanded the Iraqi military. This is now accepted
as a goof of the first order when it came to sparking an insurgency.
But, in terms of Bush administration planning, it was no mistake at
all.
At the time, the Pentagon made it quite clear that its plan for a future Iraqi military was for a force of
40,000
lightly armed troops meant to do little more than patrol the
country's borders. (Saddam Hussein's army had been something like a
600,000-man force.) It was, in other words, to be a
Military Lite
and there was essentially to be no Iraqi air force. In other words,
in one of the more heavily armed and tension-ridden regions of the
planet, Iraq was to become a Middle Eastern Costa Rica if, that is,
you didn't assume that the U.S. Armed Forces, from those four "enduring
camps" somewhere outside Iraq's major cities, including a
giant air base
at Balad, north of Baghdad, and with the back-up help of U.S. Naval
forces in the Persian Gulf, were to serve as the real Iraqi military
for the foreseeable future.
Again, it's necessary to put
these facts on the ground in a larger in this case, pre-invasion
geopolitical context. From the first Gulf War on, Saudi Arabia, the
largest producer of energy on the planet, was being groomed as the
American military bastion in the heart of the Middle East. But the
Saudis grew uncomfortable think here, the claims of Osama bin Laden
and Co. that U.S. troops were defiling the Kingdom and its holy places
with the Pentagon's elaborate enduring camps on its territory.
Something had to give and it wasn't going to be the American military
presence in the Middle East. The answer undoubtedly seemed clear enough
to top Bush administration officials. As an anonymous American diplomat
told the
Sunday Herald
of Scotland back in October 2002, "A rehabilitated Iraq is the only
sound long-term strategic alternative to Saudi Arabia. It's not just a
case of swopping horses in mid-stream, the impending U.S. regime change
in Baghdad is a strategic necessity."
As those officials
imagined it and as Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz
predicted by the fall of 2003, major American military operations in
the region would have been re-organized around Iraq, even as American
forces there would be drawn down to perhaps 30,000-40,000 troops
stationed eternally at those "enduring camps." In addition, a group of
Iraqi secular exiles, friendly to the United States, would be in power
in Baghdad, backed by the occupation and ready to open up the Iraqi
economy, especially
its oil industry
to Western (particularly American) multinationals. Americans and their
allies and private contractors would, quite literally, have free run of
the country, the equivalent of nineteenth century colonial
extraterritoriality (something "legally" institutionalized in June
2004, thanks to
Order 17,
issued by the Coalition Provisional Authority, just before it
officially turned over "sovereignty" to the Iraqis); and, sooner or
later, a Status of Forces Agreement or SOFA would be "negotiated" that
would define the rights of American troops garrisoned in that country.
At that point, the U.S. would have successfully repositioned itself
militarily in relation to the oil heartlands of the planet. It would
also have essentially encircled a second member of the "axis of evil,"
Iran (once you included the numerous new U.S. bases that had been
built
and were being expanded in occupied Afghanistan as part of the ongoing
war against the Taliban). It would be triumphant and dominant and, with
its Israeli ally, militarily beyond challenge in the region. The cowing
of, collapse of, or destruction of the Syrian and Iranian regimes would
surely follow in short order.
Of course, much of this never came about as planned. It turned out
that, once the Sunni insurgency gained traction, the Bush
administration had little choice but to reconstitute a sizeable, if
still relatively lightly armed, Iraqi military (as a largely Shiite
force) and then, more recently, arm Sunni militias as well, possibly
opening the way for future clashes of a major nature. It had to accept
a Shiite regime locked inside the highly fortified Green Zone of the
Iraqi capital that was religious, sectarian, largely powerless, and
allied to some degree
with Iran.
It had to accept chaos, significant and unexpected casualties,
continual urban warfare, and an enormous strain and drain on its armed
forces (as well as a black hole of distraction from other global
issues). None of this had been predicted, or imagined, by Bush's top
officials.
On the other hand, the Bush administration has
demonstrated significant "endurance" of its own, especially when it
came to the linked issues of oil and bases. In a recent report for
Harper's Magazine,
"The Black Box, Inside Iraq's Oil Machine," Luke Mitchell describes
traveling the southern Iraqi oil field of Rumaila with a petroleum
engineer working for Foster Wheeler, a Houston engineering firm hired
by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers "to oversee much of the oilfield
reconstruction," and protected by private guards employed by the
British security company Erinys. He describes what's left of the Iraqi
oil industry after decades of war, sanctions, civil war, sabotage, and
black-market theft a run-down industrial plant with a rusting
delivery system that, at a technical level, is now largely in the hands
of the Army Corps of Engineers, the Department of Energy, the State
Department, and private contractors like KBR, the former division of
Halliburton. At the most basic level, he reports that many of "Iraq's
native oil professionals," who heroically patched up and held together
a broken system in the years after the first Gulf War, have (along with
so many other Iraqi professionals) fled the country. He writes:
"The Wall Street Journal in 2006 called this flight
a 'petroleum exodus' and reported that about a hundred oil workers had
been murdered since the war began and that 'of the top hundred of so
managers running the Iraqi oil ministry and its branches in 2003, about
two-thirds are no longer at their jobs.' Now most of the [oil]
engineers in Iraq are from Texas and Oklahoma."
Similarly,
in Baghdad, the government of Prime Minister Maliki is not expected to
handle the crucial energy problems of its country alone. Here's a
relevant (if well-buried) passage from a
recent New York Times
piece on the subject: "Earlier this month, the White House dispatched
several senior aides to Baghdad to work with the Iraqis on specific
legislative areas. They include the under secretary of state for
economic, energy and agricultural affairs, Reuben Jeffery III, who is
working on the budget and oil law
" This is what passes for
"sovereignty" in present-day Iraq.
In this context, the
following line of text about agreed-upon subjects for negotiation in
last week's Bush/Maliki "declaration" caused eyebrows to be raised (at
least abroad): "Facilitating and encouraging the flow of foreign
investments to Iraq, especially American investments, to contribute to
the reconstruction and rebuilding of Iraq." As the British
Guardian put the matter: "The promise was immediately seen as a potential bonanza for American oil companies." A
BBC report
commented, "Correspondents say US investors benefiting from
preferential treatment could earn huge profits from Iraq's vast oil
reserves, causing widespread resentment among Iraqis." (American
coverage regularly ignores or plays down the oil aspect of the Bush
administration's Iraq policies, even though that country has the third
largest reserves on the planet.)
Bases, Bases Everywhere
Among the most tenacious and enduring Bush administration facts on the ground are those giant bases, still largely ignored
with honorable
exceptions by the mainstream media. Thom Shanker and Cara Buckley of the
New York Times, to give but one example, managed to write that paper's
major piece
about the joint "declaration" without mentioning the word "base," no
less "permanent," and only Gen. Lute's slip made the permanence of
bases a minor note in other mainstream reports. And yet it's not just
that the building of bases
did go on and on a remarkable scale but that it continues today.
Whatever the descriptive labels, the Pentagon, throughout this whole
period, has continued to create, base by base, the sort of "facts" that
any negotiations, no matter who engages in them, will need to take into
account. And the ramping up of the already gigantic "mega-bases" in
Iraq proceeds apace. Recent reports indicate that the Pentagon
will call on Congress to pony up another billion dollars soon enough for further upgrades and "improvements."
We also know that frantic construction has been under way on three new
bases of varying sizes. The most obvious of these though it's seldom
thought of this way is the gigantic new U.S. Embassy, possibly the
largest in the world,
being built
on an almost Vatican-sized plot of land inside Baghdad's Green Zone. It
is meant to be a citadel, a hardened universe of its own, in, but not
of, the Iraqi capital. In recent months, it has also turned into a
construction nightmare,
soaking up another $144 million in American taxpayer monies, bringing
its price tag to three-quarters of a billion dollars and still
climbing. It is to house 1,000 or so "diplomats," with perhaps a few
thousand extra security guards and hired hands of every sort.
When, in the future, you read in the papers about administration plans
to withdraw American forces to bases "outside of Iraqi urban areas,"
note that there will continue to be a major base in the heart of the
Iraqi capital for who knows how long to come. As the
Washington Post's
Glenn Kessler put it, the 21-building compound "is viewed by some
officials as a key element of building a sustainable, long-term
diplomatic presence in Baghdad." Presence, yes, but diplomatic?
In the meantime, a relatively small base,
"Combat Outpost Shocker,"
provocatively placed within a few kilometers of the Iranian border, has
been rushed to completion this fall on a mere $5 million construction
contract. And only in the last weeks, reports have emerged on the
latest U.S. base under construction, uniquely being built on a key
oil-exporting platform in the waters off the southern Iraqi port of
Basra and meant for the U.S. Navy and allies. Such a base gives meaning
to this passage in the Bush/Maliki declaration: "Providing security
assurances and commitments to the Republic of Iraq to deter foreign
aggression against Iraq that violates its sovereignty and integrity of
its territories,
waters, or airspace."
As the
British Telegraph
described this multi-million dollar project: "The US-led coalition is
building a permanent security base on Iraq's oil pumping platforms in
the Gulf to act as the nerve centre' of efforts to protect the
country's most vital strategic asset." Chip Cummins of the
Wall Street Journal
summed up the project this way in a piece headlined, "U.S. Digs In to
Guard Iraq Oil Exports Long-Term Presence Planned at Persian Gulf
Terminals Viewed as Vulnerable": "[T]he new construction suggests that
one footprint of U.S. military power in Iraq isn't shrinking anytime
soon: American officials are girding for an open-ended commitment to
protect the country's oil industry."
Though you'd never know
it from mainstream reporting, the single enduring fact of the Iraq War
may be this constant building and upgrading of U.S. bases. Since the
Times
revealed those base-building plans back in the spring of 2003, Iraq has
essentially been a vast construction site for the Pentagon. The
American media did, in the end, come to focus on the civilian
"reconstruction" of Iraq which, from the rebuilding of
electricity-production facilities to the construction of a
new police academy has proved a
catastrophic mixture of crony capitalism,
graft,
corruption, theft, inefficiency, and sabotage. But there has been next
to no focus on the construction success story of the Iraq War and
occupation: those bases.
In this way, whatever the disasters
of its misbegotten war, the Bush administration has, in a sense, itself
"endured" in Iraq. Now, with only a year left, its officials clearly
hope to write that endurance and those "enduring camps" into the
genetic code of both countries an "enduring relationship" meant to
outlast January 2009 and to outflank any future administration. In
fact, by some official projections, the bases are meant to be occupied
for up to 50 to 60 years without ever becoming "permanent."
You can, of course, claim that the Iraqis "asked for" this new,
"enduring relationship," as the declaration so politely suggests. It is
certainly true that, as part of the bargain, the Bush administration is
offering to defend its "boys" to the hilt against almost any
conceivable eventuality, including the sort of internal coup that it
has, these last years, been rumored to have considered launching
itself.
In an attempt to make an end-run around Congress, administration
officials continue to present what is to be negotiated as merely a
typical SOFA-style agreement. "There are about a hundred countries
around the world with which we have [such] bilateral defense or
security cooperation agreements," Gen. Lute said reassuringly,
indicating that this matter would be handled by the executive branch
without significant input from Congress. The guarantees the Bush
administration seems ready to offer the Maliki government, however,
clearly rise
to treaty level
and, if we had even a faintly assertive Congress, would surely require
the advice and consent of the Senate. Iraqi officials have already made
clear that such an agreement will have to pass through their parliament
in a country where the idea of "enduring" U.S. bases in an "enduring"
relationship is bound to be exceedingly unpopular.
Still, a
formula for the future is obviously being put in place and, after more
than four years of frenzied construction, the housing for it, so to
speak, is more than ready. As the
Washington Post described the plan,
"Iraqi officials said that under the proposed formula, Iraq would get
full responsibility for internal security and U.S. troops would
relocate to bases outside the cities. Iraqi officials foresee a
long-term presence of about 50,000 U.S. troops
"
No matter what comes out of the mouths of Iraqi officials, though,
what's "enduring" in all this is deeply Pentagonish and has emerged
from the Bush administration's earliest dreams about reshaping the
Middle East and achieving global domination of an unprecedented sort.
It's a case, as the old Joni Mitchell song put it, of going "round and
round and round in the circle game."
[
Note: Spencer Ackerman has been offering especially good coverage of developments surrounding the recent Bush/Maliki declaration at
TPM Muckraker.
I'd also like to offer one of my periodic statements of thanks to
Iraq-oriented sites that give me daily aid and succor in gathering
crucial material and analysis, especially Juan Cole's invaluable
Informed Comment,
Antiwar.com, and Paul Woodward's
The War in Context.]
Tom Engelhardt, who runs the Nation Institute's Tomdispatch.com, is the co-founder of the American Empire Project. His book, The End of Victory Culture
(University of Massachusetts Press), has recently been thoroughly
updated in a newly issued edition that deals with victory culture's
crash-and-burn sequel in Iraq.