Wolf’s “solution”, however, is hugely impractical. Defining a link
between bankers’ performance and remuneration would be immensely
difficult, involve unlikely international regulation of global markets
and require complex mechanisms to police. As this simply is not going
to happen in the current political climate, given the certain massive
resistance of financial interests, we can expect similar and maybe
worse crises in the future.
Over at the Times, another useful
gauge of establishment thinking, the title of Anatole Kaletsky’s column
summed up the required pacifying message: ‘Relax. Our economy isn't
manic depressive.’ Happily, according to Kaletsky’s “hunch”, it will
all turn out fine: “a combination of monetary and fiscal easing, along
with some regulatory changes [...] will lessen the credit crisis and
prevent a world recession.” (Kaletsky, The Times, January 24, 2008).
The message was buoyant, but it was also superficial.
The Independent’s economics commentator, Hamish McRae, pinned blame for the crisis simply on “mistakes”:
“Bankers,
like the rest of us, make mistakes, but the scale of the mistakes,
particularly in US banks, has been enormous. We won’t fully understand
for some time quite how they could persuade themselves that bundles of
housing loans to clearly uncreditworthy borrowers should be ranked as
almost as good as government securities.”
The “legitimate
question” now, asserts McRae, is “whether the continuing banking
weakness has become so serious as to transfer what is still a financial
market problem into a more general economic problem.” His reassuring
conclusion:
“Banking troubles will be a drag on the world
economy, slowing it down. But they won't stop it in its tracks.”
(McRae, ‘The markets are bad, but don’t panic just yet’, Independent,
January 23, 2008)
This would be comforting news for the
‘masters of the universe’ who were meeting in Davos, many of them in
sombre mood: 27 heads of state; 113 cabinet ministers; hundreds of
chief executives, bankers, fund managers, economists and journalists:
about 2,500 participants in all. Sean O’Grady, the Independent’s
economics editor, was enthralled by the “concentrated, eclectic mix of
the top slice of humanity” that “is part of the ‘magic’ of this
mountain redoubt”; all twinkling under a “sprinkling of stardust”
brought upon proceedings by the likes of Bono.
The stardust
was clearly affecting O’Grady’s vision as he proposed we should rely on
western political and corporate leaders to “balance the needs and
aspirations of the old economies of the West, the emerging economies of
the east and the still poor billions in the south.” (O’Grady, ‘Davos.
Wealth, power and a sprinkling of stardust’, The Independent, January
22, 2008)
In the Guardian’s comment pages there was at least a
glimmer of dissent from columnist Jonathan Freedland. “Turbo-capitalism
is not just unfair,” he wrote, “it is dishonest and dangerous.” He
pleaded: “surely this is the moment when Labour and the centre-left can
dare to question the neoliberal dogma that has prevailed since the days
of Thatcher.”
Freedland’s dissection was limited, though,
cautiously proposing that “you could argue” that “capitalism is always
[...] parasitical on the state.” What he sought was a kinder, gentler
form of capitalism instead of the “turbo-capitalism” which is happy to
rely “on us, the public, and our instrument, the state, when it gets in
trouble.” Thin on details, he concluded weakly: “Now we should demand a
say the rest of the time, too.” (Freedland, ‘The free-marketeers abhor
the crutch of the state - until they start limping’, Guardian, January
23, 2008)
The above sample indicates the narrow spectrum of
corporate media opinion on the ‘financial crisis.’ Viewpoints are
heavily biased towards the status quo, with only occasional fig leaves
of mild dissent. This is a misleading picture, avoiding scrutiny of an
economic system that is both fundamentally flawed and stacked against
the majority of humanity.
Financial and political elites are
at pains to convince the public they +can+ get things ‘back on track’
by tweaking interest rates, ‘stimulating’ the economy and only
infrequently having to intervene to make a heroic “rescue”. Thus,
although the occasional financial crisis cannot be prevented - just as
a flu virus might afflict a healthy body - the economy itself is
presumed to be “inherently strong.” (President George W. Bush, quoted,
Democracy Now!, January 23, 2008;
http://www.democracynow.org/2008/1/23/recession).
This is a
vital illusion; the required view of wealthy investors and
corporations. After all, a basic requirement for powerful authority to
prevail is the mythical projection of a benign force in control of
events. Western leaders and their faithful retinue in the media are
deceptively reassuring about the global economic situation - because
profits and power demand it. Otherwise they run the serious risk of a
huge slump in public confidence in the current economic system and even
in what passes for ‘democratic’ politics. Corporate reporting of the
‘financial crisis’, then, is yet another example of how reality is
distorted in service to power and profit.
Boom And Bust
Despite the huge scale of yet another financial crisis, and the
threat of an impending severe global economic recession, the major
political parties and elite media refuse to address the possibility of
fundamental weaknesses and inequality at the very heart of modern
‘capitalism.’ In reality, the current system, driven by private profit
far beyond environmental sanity, is incapable of meeting the needs and
aspirations of humanity.
The inherently unstable and
destructive behaviour of capitalism derives from its inevitable cycles
of “boom and bust.” We can see this in both theory and practice.
Corporations operate for the primary benefit of their shareholders, as
demanded by company law. The priority of shareholders is to maximise
profits. The capital that they invest must increase in value to justify
the risk undertaken. Demand for products and services thus needs to
expand. The profits gained, or part thereof, can then be reinvested to
generate further profit.
But the process is unsustainable
because markets become saturated as consumers reach the limit of their
demand capacity. Intense competition impels producers to drive down
costs, especially labour, to make a profit. As profits become squeezed,
and dividend-hungry shareholders threaten to take their investment
elsewhere, producers become desperate to push up total sales. They pump
out ever greater volumes of commodities and spend billions on
advertising to boost demand. Inevitably, the flood of commodities
surpasses the capacity of the market to absorb products. Sales
collapse, unemployment rises and a full-blown recession ensues: this is
the ‘bust’ part of the cycle. Surplus productive capacity then has to
be destroyed before a new ‘boom’ can begin.
That is the
theory, and it is borne out by historical experience. Since the
industrial revolution, around 200 years ago in the West, boom-and-bust
cycles have recurred with varying intensity. The most destructive bust
occurred in the 1930s Great Depression, leading to World War Two and
the deaths of over 60 million people.
Historically, as Karl
Marx recognised, capitalism can also be seen as the driver of
technological revolutions and in boosting human powers of production.
And, at least in the West, it has been associated with past increases
in the living conditions of a sizeable fraction of the population. So
perhaps we should accept that capitalism, with all its flaws, +is+ the
best we can do. Perhaps we should believe the official argument that
governments have largely learnt to cope with boom-and-bust cycles
through judicious planning.
For example, a huge crisis +was+
averted in the 1970s. However, this was only possible because, as
British economist Harry Shutt explains: “the authorities were
determined (as never before) to use the forces of the state - through
fiscal and monetary manipulation (including massive but unsustainable
government borrowing) - to try and keep the show on the road.” (Shutt,
email, January 28, 2008)
But these were only short-term ‘fixes’ at best. Gerry Gold and Paul Feldman sum up:
“Attempts
to resolve the simultaneous stagnation and inflation of the 1970s
through high interest rates produced a recession in the US in the early
1980s. Parallel deflationary policies imposed by the UK’s Thatcher
government from 1979 led quickly to a recession and a fullblown slump
by 1985. Attempts to overcome this only led to a further recession in
1991-2.” (Gold and Feldman, ‘A House of Cards: From fantasy finance to
global crash’, Lupus Books, London, 2007, p. 28)
Moreover,
Shutt exposes the “coping strategies” promoted over the past twenty
years by government authorities in cahoots with Wall Street and the
City. These have “all involved pumping up credit bubbles around various
fantasies – ‘emerging’ markets, dot.com, housing - which had about as
much substance as the original South Sea [Bubble] and could only be
sustained even for a few years by a similar level of fraud and
misinformation.” (Shutt, email, January 28, 2008)
In 1997, a
major financial crisis erupted, starting in East Asia. Currencies
collapsed, businesses went bankrupt and millions of people lost their
jobs. Many Asian enterprises were subsequently snapped up at
rock-bottom prices by corporations and investors in the West. Soon
after, in 2000, the speculative bubble of investment in
internet-related companies burst spectacularly. This ‘dot-com’ bust saw
a lengthy recession ensue in the developed world.
Historical
evidence shows, then, that governments have been largely powerless to
combat capitalism’s inevitable and damaging ‘business cycles’. However,
this should not be confused with the resiliency of capitalism; the
system has demonstrated a repeated capacity to reform itself
sufficiently to allow renewed growth and to survive further rounds of
business cycles. So it would be wrong to assume that the whole
capitalist system, unstable and unfair as it always will be, is on the
verge of total collapse.
Official Fraud And Propaganda
An alarming symptom of what is wrong with current economics is the
increasingly desperate and cynical measures taken by powerful states,
corporations and investors to maintain faltering public confidence in
global capitalism. Just as Enron, Worldcom and a host of other large
corporations have committed accounting fraud, so governments have
falsified figures on inflation, output and unemployment to present a
false picture of a healthy economy. (See Shutt, ‘The Decline of
Capitalism’, Zed Books, London, 2005, pp. 104-5)
For example,
the US government has deliberately exaggerated GDP growth rates in
order to disguise the economy’s poor performance since the mid-1970s;
in the developed world, growth rates have actually declined over the
past three decades. As David Harvey reports, aggregate global growth
rates stood at around 3.5 per cent in the 1960s. Even during the
difficult 1970s, marked by energy shortages and industrial unrest, it
fell only to 2.4 per cent. But the subsequent growth rates have
languished at 1.4 per cent and 1.1 per cent in the 1980s and 1990s,
respectively, and has struggled to reach even 1 per cent since 2000.
(Harvey, ‘A Brief History of Neoliberalism’, Oxford University Press,
2005, p. 154)
In terms of public perception, however, the
authorities have largely succeeded. They have maintained the fiction
that they +can+ manage the economy effectively and that global
capitalism is the only game in town. How has this been possible? Shutt
points to a “media campaign of uncritical propaganda and pro-market
hype.” This “sustained act of mass deception (in which the
establishment has seemingly come to believe in its own propaganda) has
had disastrous consequences.” (Shutt, op. cit., pp. 36-37)
Those
consequences include crushing levels of poverty and inequality; wars
motivated by the desire for strategic control, hydrocarbon resources
and economic markets; climate instability; and the most rapid loss of
species in the planet’s history.
The Neoliberal Nightmare
To
complement the above picture, and in contrast to corporate media
coverage, we must also critically describe the political-economic
process summed up by that innocuous-sounding word, ‘neoliberalisation’.
This serious attack on democracy, the latest stage in advanced
capitalism, took root in the Reagan-Thatcher era of the 1980s, and has
accelerated ever since. Proponents of neoliberalism tell us that human
well-being flourishes best within an institutional framework
characterised by strong private property rights, ‘free’ markets and
‘free’ trade. But what has it meant in practice?
First, recall
that after the trauma of the Depression and WW2 in the 1930s and 1940s,
Western governments used Keynesian fiscal and monetary policies (named
after the British economist John Maynard Keynes) to try to dampen
business cycles and to ensure reasonably full employment. There was
significant state-led planning, and even state ownership, of key
industrial sectors such as coal, steel and cars. Governments also made
huge investments in health care, education and infrastructure. As David
Harvey explains, this system of “embedded liberalism” involved “market
processes and entrepreneurial and corporate activities [that] were
surrounded by a web of social and political constraints and a
regulatory environment.”(Harvey, op. cit., pp. 10-11)
During
the 1950s and 1960s, embedded liberalism delivered high rates of
economic growth in the West. But in the 1970s, given the inevitability
of boom-and-bust, a serious crisis of capital accumulation arose.
Inflation and unemployment soared, and labour unrest threatened
business interests. The free-market and monetarist financial centres,
notably the City of London, had never been enamoured of the postwar
welfare state and were increasingly antagonistic towards state
Keynesian policies. As Harvey notes, “the nationalized industries were
draining resources from the Treasury.” (op. cit., p. 57). With the oil
shocks and economic stagnation of the 1970s, powerful business and
political forces mobilised to set a course for the next stage of
capitalism: to regain the elite class power that had been dissipated,
to some extent, by postwar policies of wealth redistribution and social
welfare. Neoliberalisation was born.
A wave of deregulation of
financial markets swept the world, and transnational mobility of
capital rapidly rose. Corporate pressure intensified on governments to
create a ‘good business climate’ and to adopt neoliberal ‘reforms’ that
routinely squeezed state spending. Wall Street-IMF-Treasury policy
measures came to dominate US economic policy and many developing
countries were driven down the neoliberal road, creating social havoc
and environmental disasters. Neoliberalism became the new economic
orthodoxy, exerting a powerful ideological influence in the media and
academia.
The whole process has been a form of ‘creative
destruction’, weakening or even breaking down existing institutions and
state powers, social welfare, health care, education systems and
culture – even modes of human interaction, behaviour and thought.
In
some countries, certainly, there have been ‘successes’ during the
initial stages of neoliberalisation in lifting people out of poverty
and in raising living standards for many – just as past capitalism
generally did in the West. However, this has certainly not been the
motivating intent of corporations and investors, despite much pious
rhetoric about ‘solving poverty’. Any localised ‘success’ has typically
been achieved at the expense of people elsewhere, in regions where
neoliberal ‘development’ has not been as advanced. China’s
achievements, for example, have been gained to the serious detriment of
neighbouring economies.
A persistent and deep-rooted
characteristic of neoliberalisation has been its strong tendency to
worsen social inequality, as we will see later. Social progress
achieved during neoliberalisation of previously poor countries has not
been sustained. Typically, state intervention has been required to
maintain any semblance of a social welfare safety net – or the net has
simply been left to fray in the chill winds of economic ‘progress’.
At
the other end of the social spectrum, neoliberalisation has generated
spectacular concentrations of wealth and power that have not been seen
since the 1920s. In China and Russia, new and powerful economic elites
have been created. Harvey sums up:
“The flows of tribute into
the world’s major financial centres have been astonishing. What,
however, is even more astonishing is the habit of treating all of this
as a mere and in some instances even unfortunate byproduct of
neoliberalization. The very idea that this might be - just might be -
the fundamental core of what neoliberalization has been about all along
appears unthinkable. It has been part of the genius of neoliberal
theory to provide a benevolent mask full of wonderful-sounding words
like freedom, liberty, choice, and rights, to hide the grim realities
of the restoration or reconstitution of naked class power [...].”
(Harvey, op. cit., pp. 118-119)
The above is but a hint of the
stark reality underpinning the ‘flourishing’ of the global economic
system; a reality that is shamefully missing from broadcast headlines
and newspaper front pages. The current system of economics,
particularly the latest stage of “turbo-capitalism”, known
inoffensively as “neoliberalism”, is built upon painful boom-and-bust
cycles fuelled by corporate greed and maintained by cynical deception
of the public. The costs to the planet – in terms of human suffering
and environmental collapse – are staggering.
In Part Two, to follow shortly, we tackle the establishment myth that
India and China are the latest ‘success’ stories of global capitalism.
The Media Lens book ‘Guardians of Power: The Myth Of The Liberal Media’
by David Edwards and David Cromwell (Pluto Books, London) was published
in 2006. John Pilger described it as: “The most important book about
journalism I can remember.” For further details, including reviews,
interviews and extracts, please click here.