As three months of news reports of escalating violence in Iraq undercut widespread American propaganda about the "surge's" success, increasing numbers of Americans, once again, are reaching the conclusion that the Bush administration's illegal, immoral and incompetent invasion and occupation of Iraq is a war that never should have been fought. According to the results of CNN/Opinion Research Poll reported on 1 May 2008, 68 percent of Americans now oppose George W. Bush's war in Iraq.
These Americans have (belatedly) gotten it right. Moreover, five years after viewing the sick "Mission Accomplished" propaganda, it's now becoming clear that the "surge" and the implementation of the counterinsurgency strategy detailed in General Petraeus' Counterinsurgency Field Manual were last-ditch and largely propaganda gimmicks chosen by Bush to avoid admitting his stark defeat in Iraq. Thus, Bush and Cheney are sacrificing lives while playing for time — time to escape office without being impeached and convicted, time to assert that the war was not lost during their watch.
Simply consider the words of Andrew Bacevich, in his recent article "Surging to Defeat." Not only are American and Iraqi forces still suffering from nearly 500 attacks per week, "the United States today finds itself with too much war and too few warriors."
Or consider the words of Steven Simon, in the May/June 2008 issue of Foreign Affairs. Mr. Simon concludes: "A strategy adopted for near-term advantage by a frustrated administration will only increase the likelihood of long-term debacle." Why? Because the bottom-up counterinsurgency strategy adopted by President Bush and General Petraeus has strengthened "the three forces that have traditionally threatened the stability of Middle Eastern states: tribalism, warlordism, and sectarianism."
More fundamentally, as Jonathan Steele has concluded in his recent book, Defeat: Why America and Britain Lost Iraq,
America guaranteed its own defeat and humiliation as soon as its
so-called war of liberation became an occupation. As Steele notes: The
central problem was not that the Americans made mistakes. The
occupation itself was the mistake." [pp. 1-2]
Moreover, as Professor Truman L. Cross has demonstrated in his remarkably insightful, acerbic and hilarious review of the Counterinsurgency Field Manual,
Bush's "surge" and Petraeus' bottom-up counterinsurgency strategy would
only validate Steele's somber conclusion. With Truman's kind
permission, I publish his review below:
Counterinsurgency Field Manual, forwards by
General David H. Petraeus and Lt. General James F. Amos and Lt. Colonel
John A. Nagl; with a new introduction by Sarah Sewall (Chicago, 2007).
Reviewed By Truman B. Cross
Although Petraeus gets credit as "the guy who wrote the book," the
Manual is the result of an unusual agreement between high level Army
and Marine officers to put lower ranks to work gathering material to be
collected and edited for publication. This information and much more
about the genesis and gestation of the Manual is in the forwards. Ms.
Sewell's introduction is an intelligent critique of the Manual. She is
the director of the Carr Center for Human Rights Policy in the Kennedy
School of Government, Harvard. Sewell's critique appears in the
University of Chicago edition under review here. The authors intend the
Manual for the use of majors, colonels and other field grade officers;
it explains the doctrine of fighting counterinsurgency wars. It is
dreadful to read.
Training manuals are artifacts of historical circumstances. Some are
very simple-how to clean and maintain weapons as they make their way
into and out of arsenals. Some are complex, as this field manual is,
because it draws its main lessons from recent anti-colonial wars, a
sour irony because European colonial powers lost all of these wars to
"rebels," going back to the American War of Independence, subsequent
wars in Latin America, Africa, and Southeast Asia, where Japanese
troops drove out or fatally weakened the Europeans. One must admire
Japanese statesmen for realizing that selling all sorts of goods was
far more profitable than trying to hold colonies. It took the Europeans
longer to figure this out; the Russians are now at work on the problem;
Americans lost nearly 60,000 soldiers in the futility of Vietnam, and
now they are arguing about Iraq. This Manual plays a part in the
American argument. It makes a case that a major power can win an
anti-colonial war, a feat that has never been done. The Manual uses the
terms insurgency and counterinsurgency (COIN) to avoid the use of the
more accurate phrase: anti-colonial war.
In fact, the word "colonial" does not appear in the index or
anywhere else in the Manual. In General Petraeus' introduction there is
brief reference to "resistance" movements and a list of insurgent war
types. Here is the list:
· Conspiratorial
· Military-focused
· Urban
· Protracted popular war
· Identity-focused
· Composite and coalition
Discussion of these COIN types follows, always under the general
caution that one may face any or all of these options during an LLO,
Logical Line of Operation, within any HN, Host Nation. Under
"military-focused" appears a new word - "focoist" - which Petraeus
attributes in part to Che Guevara. That flatters Guevara whose
reputation rested not on theory, but on charm, valor, and dedication.
At any rate, it seems just plain obstinate if not obtuse to avoid the
right phrase: anti-colonial war that may indeed have several forms for
which no one was or is able to prepare in advance. The colonial era in
world history is coming to a close; what is left is nasty fighting over
which local group/dictator/party gets the lion's share of the former
colony, i.e., Host Nation. [There is a three-page list of abbreviations
that are used to stupefying effect throughout the text. One can easily
imagine a group of young men in starched desert fatigues at some
military college having a conversation that is really a test of whether
anyone can remember what DOCEX, DOTMLPF, GEOEVT, METT-TC mean.]
The Manual explains how each insurgent type exhibits itself and
suggests how to respond. One need not be much of mathematician to note
immediately that, starting with just six types or methods, the
possibilities of combination would arrive at a vast number. And that
huge number ignores the key issue of identifying which method one faces
at any given time; nor does it consider that any opponent would be as
deceptive as possible. There may also be six new types just over the
horizon. In fact, there is no possibility of a clear definition of any
of the six types, and the liberal use of acronyms and abbreviations
means that anyone using the Manual is actually doing some sort of
algebra that has no connection to real world humans engaged in killing
each other.
The Manual recognizes that it is suicidal to engage the United
States armed forces in "conventional" warfare, so one has to learn to
use fighters in COIN, all the while taking care not to make enemies in
the general population of the HN, indeed making friends as one
devastates the HN, an abbreviation that deserves some special
attention. One must remember that HN actually stands for some
political/geographical unit. One must also never forget that HN
competence is the goal of COIN and a prerequisite for COIN success.
That is, war is still a means to a political goal, in this case, lest
one forget, a stable HN. One should note well that HN is a euphemism
for government.
In normal discourse, host means a person (or government) who
offers an invitation, in this case to invade one's territory. But war
in Iraq is, as far as anyone can tell, a no-host event. Just what
constitutes a "nation" is a subject one opens carefully, but it is
necessary in this case because it is questionable whether Iraq ever
qualified. Vietnam did qualify. Vietnamese had defined themselves over
two millennia of war and conflict with Chinese, Thais, Laos, Dutch, and
French. They knew who they were. Did Indonesia belong in the club of
nations after 1945? Does India, with only about 300 years of state
unity going back to 2500 B.C.? Pakistan? There are at least four main
groups of people living in what used to be West Pakistan until a
ghastly war in 1971 split off Bangladesh. Military government holds
many of the world's states together, and many of them are nations of
peoples who would not have chosen to live within the state from which
they currently suffer. Iraq came into existence in 1921 because
Gertrude Bell and T.E. Lawrence convinced Winston Churchill it was a
good idea. (See the priceless photograph of the three of them, and
others, mounted on camels in Georgina Howell, Gertrude Bell: Queen of
the Desert, Shaper of Nations (New York, 2006).
British politicians had already betrayed Faisal, son of the sharif of
Mecca, but, after the French threw him out of Syria, found a job for
him as King of Iraq, a highly unstable collection of diverse ethnic,
social and religious groups. The monarchy ended in 1958 with the
execution of Faisal's grandson. Saddam Hussein emerged as co-tyrant of
Iraq for the next ten years and by 1979 military dictator through
murder, intrigue, bribery, public violence-all the usual methods that
were and are necessary to maintain state power over people with
severely different cultural/ethnic identities. Iraq was never a nation,
and it is no longer possible to restore it as a state. [To my
knowledge, the best single volume study of Iraq is Charles Tripp, A
History of Iraq (3rd edition, Cambridge, UK, 2007). This book is
difficult because it follows intriguing but convoluted
political/military history, a descriptive chronology that is short on
analysis. Nevertheless, it is worth the strenuous effort.] This brief
excursion into the history of Iraq, one of the last artificial states
created by departing colonial powers, illuminates the basic flaw in
COIN doctrine: it is impossible to devise a general theory that fits
ever changing historical/geographical facts.
How much of the history of Iraq does General Petraeus know? Or, to
put this question more sharply: should soldiers find ways, including
self-delusion through jargon, to fight a hopeless war just because some
neocons and an ignorant President want one? Where is the heroism in
that? Or the courage? How many Senators or Representatives (or staff)
actually slogged through the famous Manual? It is a truly unbearable
task: one could make prisoners read this field manual and test them on
memory, but Americans do not torture. In an improbable case of
unconscious irony, there is a blurb on the back of the Manual by
General Petraeus himself: '"Surely a manual that's on the bedside table
of the president, vice president, secretary of defense, 21 of 25
members of the Senate Armed Services Committee and many others deserves
a place at your bedside too."" One can agree. It probably is better
than strong drugs. It is certainly not addictive.
The Manual exposes, as noted above, that the highest-ranking officers
in the American armed forces think that it is impossible to win a
"conventional" war against the United States. Whether that is true, no
one can know until such a war occurs. But, true or not, it is a foolish
and disastrous assumption that the government of the United States
should learn how to fight anti-colonial wars against peoples who will
keep fighting until the Americans and all other foreigners are gone —
and then get down to the business of fighting for whatever territory is
up for grabs.
The ancient Greek concepts of hubris and nemesis-prideful
arrogance and retribution-apply, written in blood, to the end of the
modern version of commercial and political imperialism. The Europeans
who conquered and colonized North America came to the imperial game
late: US troops fought and tortured Filipinos in the name of
liberation. We tried to establish puppet governments in China, the
so-called Nationalists, and in Vietnam under a series of corrupt and
incompetent military dictators. We lost because we created opponents
who were better at fighting their kind of war on their ground than we
could ever be, and should not want to be. All the sincerity, all the
dedicated work, all the starched fatigues and snappy salutes will not
change the brute facts of the modern post-colonial world. And we
should, as an ancient Chinese saying has it, at least call things by
their right names.
So this Counterinsurgency Field Manual is a waste of
time, money, and sincerity. It was obsolete a century before it was
written, but I agree with its author. One should read this sad monument
to folly grasped. As the winning poker players say: read it and weep.
Truman B. Cross is a Russia scholar who toiled as a
Lecturer in History at Portland State, Drake, UC Santa Barbara and
Foothill College until his retirement in June 2000. He can be reached
at: irinacross@sbcglobal.net
Walter C. Uhler is an independent scholar and freelance writer
whose work has been published in numerous publications, including The
Nation, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, the Journal of Military
History, the Moscow Times and the San Francisco Chronicle. He also is
President of the Russian-American International Studies Association
(RAISA). waltuhler@aol.com