The blogosphere is now filled with a plethora of interesting analysis and postmortem of the Russian-Georgian conflagration. Many scholars, academics, and activists are weighing in with their analysis on what happened. The two most illuminating (as usual) have come from globalresearch.ca and can be read here and here. Some others have also provided good analysis and background perspectives, as for instance the erudite reports from stratfor, antiwar.com, rense.com, thenation.com, and also the one noted above.
However, while almost all of them rightly prognosticate a new “Cold War”, or that the Russians have finally come into their own under Vladimir Putin, they invariably imply this as an inadvertent by-product of the largely miscalculated events which can either lead to a broader war, or to a checkmate of the American empire! Inexplicably, even the usually forensic globalresearch authors (Chossudovsky and Lendman), while coming the closest to the blatant reality of hectoring hegemons, have not ventured to fully explore beyond the thin veil in the aforecited essays “War in the Caucasus: Towards a Broader Russia-US Military Confrontation?” and “Using Georgia to Target Russia”.
Lendmen comes the closest when he almost tepidly observes: 'The New Great Game – What's at stake is what former National Security advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski described in his 1997 book “The Grand Chessboard.” ', but then stops short of full exploration.
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Chossudovsky too, quite forensically observes: “The war on Southern Ossetia was not meant to be won, leading to the restoration of Georgian sovereignty over South Ossetia. It was intended to destabilize the region while also triggering a US-NATO confrontation with Russia.”, but surprisingly, doesn't mention Brzezinski at all! However, almost gingerly, he does ask at the conclusion of his detailed analysis: “Are we dealing with an act of provocation, with a view to triggering a broader conflict? Supported by media propaganda, the Western military alliance is intent on using this incident to confront Russia, as evidenced by recent NATO statements.”
My response to Michel Chossudovsky's careful tepidity is a forceful yes as is argued below! There can be no alternate rational explanation given the history of empire. And the mainstream media of course have done their job all too exceptionally well as is also argued below.
Consider the frightening prospect that both Chossudovsky and Lendmen have barely, but rightfully, hinted at: that Georgia's military buildup over the past years with a stooge at the helm of its affairs finally bursting her munificence in the provocative bombing of the Ossetian civilians in the middle of the night in the most despicable of ways, was an Anglo-American setup! A sting operation with a calculated opening gambit to compel the Russians to make their own forced move on the Eurasian Grand Chessboard precisely as they subsequently did!
The resulting political and military global climate so reminiscent of the “Cold War”, is neither an inadvertence, nor a miscalculation, as almost everyone else has projected. But rather, according to a cold-blooded premeditated plan for a “new world order” in which the import of Putin's 2007 observations are intended to become sardonically and completely realized.
Putin had not only warned of an autocratic-oligarchic world coming into being, but that it was so pernicious that it would destroy the nation purusing it. Well – both are intended to come true from the Anglo-American perspective. The destruction of America via the clandestine SPP (Security and Prosperity Partnership) to create a new temporary Union en route to a world without independent nation-states that is ruled oligarchically under a singular central force. Here is Putin's relevant statements from the 2007 Munich Conference on Security Policy:
“The history of humanity certainly has gone through unipolar periods and seen aspirations to world supremacy. And what hasn’t happened in world history?
However, what is a unipolar world? However one might embellish this term, at the end of the day it refers to one type of situation, namely one centre of authority, one centre of force, one centre of decision-making.
It is world in which there is one master, one sovereign. And at the end of the day this is pernicious not only for all those within this system, but also for the sovereign itself because it destroys itself from within.
And this certainly has nothing in common with democracy. Because, as you know, democracy is the power of the majority in light of the interests and opinions of the minority.
Incidentally, Russia – we – are constantly being taught about democracy. But for some reason those who teach us do not want to learn themselves.
I consider that the unipolar model is not only unacceptable but also impossible in today’s world. And this is not only because if there was individual leadership in today’s – and precisely in today’s – world, then the military, political and economic resources would not suffice. What is even more important is that the model itself is flawed because at its basis there is and can be no moral foundations for modern civilisation.”
Put it another way, this Georgian-Russian conflagration is as much a miscalculation or happenstance in 2008, as George Kennan's “Truman Doctrine” was in seeding the Cold War in 1948. Provoking Russia is very much a component of the grand master plan and Putin well understands it. The gambit offered to Putin in Georgia has willingly been accepted because Russia too is fed up of the oligarchs' “New World Order” raping her and the rest of the pluralistic world. Putin sees Russia's destruction as a mighty nation and civilization, in her continued passivity and inaction. Among all the nations of Eurasia, Russia by far has paid the greatest price in the useless wars and machinations of the Anglo-American establishment during the 20th century. No more. No more Jews bringing revolutions to Russia, or pillaging its wealth, and no more petty fascists under imperial tutelage bringing wars to its ancient borders!
With that as the backdrop of overarching motivations, let's look at the American side. If such an opening gambit as argued above isn't its main purpose, then it was asinine for the Georgians to have attacked Ossetia like this.
As reported elsewhere, the Georgians have been fully armed and controlled by the US and Israel, with full intelligence available to them 24x7. The Georgian leadership is handpicked US-Israeli puppets. The fact that the Russians had anticipated the assault by Georgia and were already in formation close to the borders because of which they were able to retaliate so quickly, was known to the Americans. Thus why would the Americans goad/command the Georgians to attack when they could trivially predict this hard likely response by the Russians? Minimally, the Russian military mobilization at the border was a sure give-away! A Rand Corporation worth its salt plays out all war-game scenarios.
It is further worthwhile asking why would the Americans deliberately antagonize the Russians by ferrying Georgian soldiers from Iraq back to the Georgian frontlines so that they can contribute to Russian and Ossetian casualties? That's quite a needless and futile overt act of war directly by the United States against Russia – for what can an additional 2000 soldiers possibly accomplish against a modern Russian army which has a declared first-strike use of nuclear weapons as its well-publicized self-defense doctrine even in conventional precision warfare? This move by the Americans can only be understood rationally if the purpose is deemed to be deliberate nuancing of the loaded gun being held on Russia's head in America's opening gambit. If I was at the Rand Corporation, this ferrying idea might have sounded really awesome for adding fuel to the fire already lighted! Hey – perhaps the Russians can be coerced into shooting down a couple of those ferry boats! Notice how proxy wars are waged? The casualties are usually the patsies!
Lastly, in the attack by the Georgians, why would they concentrate on killing the Ossetian innocent civilians rather than take on/capture/disable things of military/civil significance if capturing the Ossetian capital and re-absorbing Ossetia into Georgia was the real goal?
Apart from being provocative, there was zero efficacy to this “surprise” attack by the Georgians upon the Russians (as Chossudovsky has also noted). The only peoples really surprised were the innocent victimized public on either side!
The one forensic explanation which wholly and rationally explains this (mis)adventure by Georgia is that from the Anglo-American perspective, it was a trap set for the Russians to behave exactly as they did. The Georgians and Ossetians are just disposable canon fodder – patsies like the Afghanis before them.
This operation has all the hallmarks of a Brzezinski proxy war on Russia leaving the Russians, once again, no choice but to intervene in Georgia as they did. Just like they had no choice as the former USSR, in their intervention in Afghanistan three decades ago when Zbigniew Brzezinski started giving aid to the Mujahideen under President Carter as deliberate premeditated provocation six months before the Soviet Union's intervention. All this is known history. Only its lessons seem to be forgotten all too quickly in the rush to be among the first to make one's analysis of what happened.
If the afore-stated opening gambit scenario is rational and plausible, as it appears to be if one looks at it from the geostrategic perspective on the Grand Chessboard, then it begs the obvious question why?
Why prompt this Russian Intervention in Georgia, and now? Let's flesh that out in the light of the afore-stated overarching motivations.
Just watch the worldwide mainstream news to know in a minute why!
OBL and Al-Qaida need replacing – the mantra is now well worn and not going down really well among the American and European public. “Islamofascism” has little utility in destabilizing Russia, while perhaps still potent for China. Thus the new boogieman of the “bad bear” has been craftily resurrected.
The consistent Western mainstream news reportage over the past week which has entirely blamed Russia for the conflict in the face of blatant facts to the contrary, validates this notion that the creation of this new mantra of “bad bear” is well orchestrated. Facts are only relevant to the creation of magical mantras if they support the mantras. Otherwise distortions, half-truths, outright bold lies, and the dialectics of deception suffice to construct new propaganda. The new mantra under construction projects the Russians as once again out to exercise their hegemony due to their inescapable genetic DNA that was previously manifested as the “bad” communist USSR, and now it's simply “bad” Russia! The basic propaganda is that the Russians cannot be trusted as nice “civilized” partners of the West and they are showing their true colors once again. That they must be re-feared by the world!
This is the most apparent and visible empirical reason for this gambit. Also watch how easily the hitherto continually morphing and entirely illusive “Al Qaida” leadership are now being suddenly found and systematically killed off in the escalation of bombings in the tribal belt region bordering Pakistan and Afghanistan by NATO, the United States Military, and the Pakistan Army. For seven years ten million tons of Depleted Uranium munitions were dropped on Afghanistan without getting the famous OBL.
Yet in the past few weeks, remarkably, many so called senior “Al Qaida” leadership have not only been killed from the air, but also assertively identified as leaders! Pakistani newspapers daily report some new “Taliban” or “Al Qaida” senior leader dead from the previous night's missile attack by NATO drones on the already impoverished rural population of Pakistan's tribal region. The increased indiscriminate killings of a 'lesser' peoples who have largely been written off from the pages of history as disposable fodder, is further bringing to a head the pre-planned destabilization and falling apart of Pakistan. It appears that the “bad bear” and “islamofascism” mantras may run in parallel for a while, until at least Pakistan is dismembered, but that the new mantra of “bad bear” is rapidly being cultivated as the new “doctrinal motivation” to take the latter's place for “imperial mobilization” in other parts of Eurasia.
The invisible or not so apparent reason, which one only understands if one looks behind the scenes towards the “forces that drive them”, in this case Zbigniew Brzezinski and his Anglo-American sponsors, the ruling interests are itching to also dismember Russia. And this deliberately provoked intervention of Russia into Georgia is merely the step-1, using a similar ploy as the Afghan Trap, but with the difference that this time it is part of a destabilization campaign right on Russia's long borders.
Additionally, keeping Russia busy on its flank while engaging Iran – if indeed Iran is actually to be bombed by Israel and/or the massive US naval armada now besieging her – makes short term military sense.
All ducks are lined up in a row as far as Russia hater, grandmaster Zbigniew Brzezinski – the architect of geostrategic primacy on the Grand Chessboard – is concerned.
However, as was noted by Project Humanbeingsfirst in its Press Release of June 30, 2008:
While Zbigniew Brzezinski may have planned the “Grand Chessboard” in the West, his Eurasian targets of the great game actually invented chess. All four of the regions burgeoning powers, Iran, India, China, and Russia, are ancient civilizations far older than the Atlantic powers put together, and are also expert chess players in the very ethos of the richness of their civilizations. Many public parks in Iran for instance, are dotted with stone and wood carved chess tables where ordinary peoples gather daily under the shady trees to spar with each other, bringing their own chess pieces. Chess is not an acquired skill in Asia, nor is it of recent acquisition, as it is for the West! It is innate to the peoples. The Chinese classic “Art of War” is 2500 years old and still teaches the Rand Corporation how to play their great games!
One given to intimately comprehending the perverse real-world of “hectoring hegemons” in which “safety” is only considered to be the “sturdy child of terror and survival the twin brother of annihilation”, would hope that the young Mr. Putin quickly re-introduces the “balance of terror” from the present day “unilateral terror”! The latter has always been an open license for exercising primacy for “full spectrum dominance” by anyone who can get away with it. It is a history “as old as mankind”! While both terror paradigms can wreck havoc upon the weak and the dispensable, “balance of terror” appears to be the only pragmatic solution for surviving this dastardly “New World Order” and derailing its “imperial mobilization” as noted in Project Humanbeingsfirst's report: “From Balance of Terror to Unilateral Terror on the Grand Chessboard!”.
The next rational step for Putin is to boldly initiate the extension of the SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) towards a full spectrum mutual defense pact treaty across Asia, and to immediately offer its protection to Iran as its full member. If Iran falls like Iraq, so will Russia (eventually). Having nuclear weapons is no protection when a devilishly fomented civil war can easily tear a nation apart – just look at Pakistan (and of course the wolfish dismemberment of Serbia)! Next stop – Russia! Only in full spectrum alliances is there any assurance of postponing, and eventually defeating the plans for the New World Order. Some of the world's greatest minds and financiers have been preparing this masterplan for well over a century and its realization is rapidly proceeding on a logarithmic scale today. The US military power ominously besieging Iran and the rising crescendo of UN sanctions as a prelude to “shock and awe” leave little room for any delay or margin for optimism. There is no time for vacillation and false posturing by the pending victims as the lives of millions of humanity is at stake! One has got to put real teeth of real 'MADness' into one's bold self-defense!
A rational and pragmatic message of “balance of power” in order to immediately avert the twilight of civilization – while some among mankind's greatest murderers continue to assert the mal fide discourse learned at the dawn of civilization – brought to you by Project Humanbeingsfirst.org.
[* Update August 17, 2008]: The fact that Russia has taken up the American opening gambit handed her and is actually responding with the next “Rand predicted move”, may be gleaned in this UK Telegraph article of August 15, 2008: “Russia destroying military bases in Georgia”. Apart from its self-explanatory title, the article notes: “While US military aircraft and warships are being sent to the region to deliver aid, and Miss Rice is due to visit the Georgian capital Tblisi on Friday, the presence of US soldiers in Georgia is also intended to send a strong signal to Russia of Washington's support for the government of President Mikheil Saakashvili.” Sky news reported the same day in its article “Russians 'Seize US Weapons Depot'”: “Relief planes have continued to fly into Georgia's capital Tbilisi with supplies for the estimated 100,000 people displaced by the fighting. US officials said their two planes carried cots, blankets, medicine and surgical supplies”. Therefore, the afore-quoted “presence of US soldiers in Georgia” in the present tense, must logically imply such presence to have commenced from before the Georgian attack on Ossetia, since the United States proclaims to have only sent in relief supplies in its two plane loads and no military aid! This is official indirect confirmation of more than just the already known American and Israeli military advisors and military trainers being present in Georgia! Are these soldiers in uniform? Or are they black-ops, part of some “Stay Behind Army” to engage the Russians? Wouldn't Putin know that? The Russian hard-nosed response of “cleansing” Georgia of American/Israeli military bases and attempting to disarm Georgia as the minimal act of carnage a “superpower” in its own right would inflict upon a provocative “gnat”, is an entirely logical and predictable military move after any invasion. Both American and Israeli occupations as well as Russia's own intervention in Afghanistan prove this truism! Thus it cannot be a surprise – except for public consumption. As per the disclosures of NATO's “Stay Behind Armies” during the Cold War under “Operation Gladio” in preparation for any Soviet invasion of Western Europe, and as per the experience of “giving to the USSR its Vietnam War” in Afghanistan, the opening gambit by the Anglo-American ruling establishment in pathetically replaying history to attempt to destabilize Russia is quite transparent. I would have expected something far more creative from Brzezinski!
To further convolute the motivations of the Anglo-American establishment in initiating this geostrategic gambit, see this August 12th Alex Jones interview of chaplain Lindsey Williams. I am neutral on adjudicating what LW discloses, except that it appears to be remarkably consistent with some grotesque components of manifest reality that seeks to precipitate crises upon crises to seed “revolutionary times” up the wazoo! The question that is really meaningful to this “chessgame” after Russia has completed her “pawn” move however (and She is still in the process of executing it): will Russia initiate her own counter-moves along the SCO as outlined above? Would She go on the offensive by forging a military pact with Venezuela; rapidly transition the BRIC economic cooperation into a formal economic block; and install her military presence – nuclear military presence – in America's own backyard in South America? Some or all these steps would be the rational and logical next counter-moves to efficaciously bring-on the genuine “balance of terror” on the Grand Chessboard! The best defense is an offense! Russia under Putin must surely realize that! And so must Zbigniew Brzezinski! But can Putin play more imaginatively than Brzezinski and the entire Anglo-American elite?
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